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The Blank Swan: The End of Probability book
The Blank Swan: The End of Probability book

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability by Elie Ayache

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability

Download The Blank Swan: The End of Probability

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability Elie Ayache ebook
Format: pdf
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 9780470725221
Page: 496

Jun 1, 2009 - There's a good reason why The Black Swan is a best seller. Low probability events with potentially high impact are ibecoming more frequent, but paradoxically, have lower than expected impacts. Redux · The National Debt Is Congress's Fault! Sep 1, 2013 - However, after a Dutch explorer discovered black swans in Western Australia toward the end of that century, the possibility of having black swans was accepted but subject to very low probability. Jan 21, 2013 - But it's been a challenge to summarize what I learnt: Nicholas Nassim Taleb gives in this follow-up to the Black Swan a very interesting analysis of how the world can be less exposed to Black Swans, not by becoming more robust only, One needs a parameter, called standard deviation, but uncertainty about standard deviation has the effect of making the small probabilities rise. Apr 24, 2014 - As an aside, it is noteworthy that long term yields have weakened considerably even while five year yields have remained roughly unchanged and yields on the short end of the curve have actually risen slightly since the beginning of the year. It's written in a very lively style with great narratives, literary images, and vivid The distributions they produce provide the best fit to Gaussian models. And individual Black Swan events almost never occur because their probability, according to Gaussian models, is so low. Sure the probability of it happening is comparable to winning the lottery every month for a year straight after the shark that was attacking you got struck and killed by lightening but still, it could happen. Congressional Progressives: Make 'Em End Debt Issuance! Jan 22, 2013 - October 19th 1987 was a day of huge change for the global finance industry. Feb 6, 2013 - Taleb is famous not only for being a retired options trader, but also for his books, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, and Antifragile: Things That On one end of the continuum are things Taleb describes as fragile — such as glass. [Don Quixote was already the sign of the end of the heroism, of the ethical behavior.

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